DROPLET

Towards Developing A Microbial Risk Assessment/Forecast Model For Cryptosporidiosis

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Project Metadata ElementDetails
  Project Title Towards Developing A Microbial Risk Assessment/Forecast Model For Cryptosporidiosis
Research Area Water
Project Acronym
  Principal Investigator or Lead Irish Partner Nicholas Holden
  Lead Institution or Organisation University College Dublin (UCD)
 Lead Country Ireland
 Latitude, Longitude (of Lead Institution) 53.30859, -6.22577
  Lead Funding Entity Environmental Protection Agency
  Approximate Project Start Date 01/01/2006
  Approximate Project Finishing Date 01/01/2010
  Project Website (if any)
  Links to other Web-based resources
 Project Keywords Drinking water; Cryptosporidiosis; Microbial risk assessment; Model
  Project Abstract A trial microbial risk assessment will be developed using GIS for a water source of a municipal water system to identify when potable water is at a high risk of being contaminated with zoonotic enteric pathogens via surface pathways. Cryptosporidium spp. oocysts will be used as the indicator organism. The data layers in the GIS will include: 1. soils; geology; stock density; 2. animal husbandry; 3. farm storage of animal wastes; 4. animal waste disposal practices; 5. data from biological surveillance of the environment, and meteorological data. Field monitoring will provide probability data for oocysts prevelance and survival along the transport vector and geo-spatial analysis within the GIS will be used to estimate probability of the transport vector being active from source to target. Monte Carlo simulation will be used to determine the risk of contamination of potable water in the trial area.